Tag Archives: european politics

MH 17 and its significance for Australia

MH 17 and its significance for Australia

As the story of MH17 unfolds, a few things take centre stage : it was shot down by a sophisticated surface to air missile, most likely supplied by Russia,over a defacto Russian-controlled area of Ukraine. Without Russian interference in Ukraine, this would not have happened.
secondly, an obvious refusal to unrestricted access for an international team of crash investigators and salvage teams, as well as sloppy procedures like not securing the crash zone as well as possible looting and the poor handling of the deceased.
A total lack of cooperation from the Russian-controlled side underlines their culpability in this scenario.If they got nothing to hide, why all this obstruction?? it rakes of old style Soviet behavior and is squarely Putin’s responsibility. He is obviously flexing his muscles.

So, why is he West pussyfooting around the whole Ukraine issue, including the MH17 scenario ? Why aren`t they putting Putin out in the cold, where he belongs ? first of all, there is a substantial resource dependency of many east and west European countries on Russia as well as trade deals. You see, Putin couldn`t care less , if Russia goes back to the dark ages, they `ll get used to it. He is a KGB man and only interested in his own power, and by stuffing around Europe he thinks he is proving his power.
secondly Europe will need some backing of the USA for effective sanctions as well as resource security.However, somewhat strained relations with the US, caused by their recent spying on their allies does not help this process. Further more there are other trouble spots in the world that need some US-Russian cooperation : ISIS in Iraq, the Syria conflict,the Gaza conflict,the braking up of Lybia. So Putin knows, he does not have to cooperate in Ukraine because the West needs him in dealing with other trouble spots. So, all up a pretty messy situation and this is the reason for the slow progress.

So what can Australia do to make a difference ? Australia could quite easily guaranty all the European countries who are dependent on Russia for their resources, resource security by supplying them with Australian gas, oil and whatever they need.It would reduce one of Putin’s pressure points significantly.It would give them some independence from one of the bullies on earth as well as reducing our own dependency on another bully, China. A win-win situation , which would be appreciated by the Europeans as well as many Australians.

The underlying current here is that of a superpower confrontation and you don`t solve that by appeasing a bully like Russia.

So come on Tony, rise and shine !!!

the Ukraine crisis- a blessing in disguise for Australia ?

Russia is trying to annex parts or even the whole of Ukraine via instigated upheavels.In the eastern Ukraine and Crimea live a fairly high percentage of ethnic Russians and this minority was ultimately used by Russia to stir trouble.The reason : Vladimir Putin wants to reestablish the old Soviet Empire.The Krimea has already been successfully annexed by Russia, the rest will follow via a so-called “referendum ” which was neither representative of the real opinion of all the people nor fair or legal by any civilised standards .

The reason why Western Europe is slow to react is that it is largely dependant on gas delivered from Russia via an extensive pipeline network that runs mainly through the Ukraine. Any sanctions against Russia will lead to Russia turning off the gas supply to maybe a dozen east and west european countries.

the pipeline network runs from Ukraine into about a dozen European countries,as well as into seaport citys.It can be supplied from both ends, the western seaports or the east.
right now there are probably 10 countries looking for a reliable gas supplier. The gas unloading facilities in European ports are only running at 50% capacity in some places,so there is room for a lot more capacity.All the Baltic states are either ready or almost ready to receive shipments of gas via ships.

This is where Australia comes into the picture.We could quite easily guaranty 200 million Europeans resource security by supplying the gas and other resources they now get from Russia.We have enough tankers and other ships for the job and we can build some more.
It would allow Europe to stand up to a bully, Putin. Remember what happened last time when Hitler annexed the Sudetenland under the same pretext,it was a major factor for WWII.We don`t want to go down that path again.Placating a bully is a bad idea !!!

And for Australia it will be probably the best chance we ever had to get out of our resource dependency with China, another bully on the world scene.
Right now it is budget time and they are trying to fill the hole, the slugs created with their economical mismanagement.By turning to Europe and with that engaging with an endurable and reliable trading partner, we can certainly make ground by gaining a new market of 200 million people or more for our resources.

In return we should ask for a free trading zone to the benefit of all concerned.
You see,a free trading zone with Asia is counter productive, because their cost of production is lower than ours, so it will kill of any residual manufacturing here.Europe`s production costs are level with ours,so there is no problem.It would give us access to some high-tech technology and maybe we can entice some companies to produce here because of our easy access to cheap resources.Just keep the local greed factor under control and it may just work.

In the times we live in, wealth is created by industrial production of mainly consumer goods.This fact is well understood in Asia,but sadly not in Australia.Selling raw resources and agricultural produce is third world country stuff.An insight that should be gained here,before it is too late.
If we stay on our current course,we will wind up like another Tibet in about 10 years time.Do we really want that ???

So the Ukrainian crisis is a golden opportunity in disguise for Australia.
Let`s not hesitate, this chance may never come again.

I hope this gets a few people thinking seriously about where we are and where we want to go.

Have a nice day
the kookabarra